All the hype all the time!
All of human history has taught us this simple truth.
Evil doesn’t come from good.
That’s also the main point of all the Christian bibles.
(4.5 minute read)
It’s the little things (LTs).
All the media noise tends to cover over the smaller interesting things that have and are taking place. They might receive a quick burst in media but don’t garner the media attention like a racist, misogynist, sexist Madison Square Garden rally does.
LT#1
Early on Professor and Presidential Historian Allan Lichtman predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris would win.[i] Lichtman has an excellent track record. He has predicted elections accurately in 9 out of 10 elections since 1984. The only election that he got “wrong” is when the Supreme Court voted against Al Gore and called the election for President Bush. In case you’ve forgotten Bush won the office of President with 537 votes.
Professor Lichtman isn’t a pollster. He uses metrics or “keys” as he calls them to make his predictions.[ii] Historically his methodology has proved far more accurate than polling. Keep that in mind with all the low-quality poll dumping that is taking place during these last few days before November 5th.
LT#2
MAGA lost their hive minds when Taylor Swift encouraged her followers to register to vote and they did so to the tune of a few hundred thousand young people. This time around millions of young voters have registered to vote.
These people are not being polled. At all.
LT#3
Pollsters are tracking the turnout of Republican women along with Republican men. Lots and I mean LOTs of Republican women are going to vote for Kamala and vote blue down ballot as well. Seeing a large Republican turnout doesn’t mean that the votes are all going to the racist Trump. Women really don’t want men or the government in charge of what they can or can’t do with their own bodies.
LT#4
Lots of Republican members of Trump’s Administration have come out against Trump but that isn’t the ‘little thing’ that I’m talking about. We all operate in circles of interaction. We tend to associate with like minded people. So whenever Republicans or even former MAGA Republicans come out against Trump in total they represent tens of thousands of votes across the nation. Reference LT#1.
Being registered as a Republican doesn’t mean as much as it used to since MAGA took over the party.
LT#5
We live in the heart of MAGA land. There are not near as many Trump signs as there were in 2020 or 2016. People by and large do not put up blue dot or Harris Walz signs because it’s only asking for trouble. And by trouble, I mean violence. People living in other red states have noted this phenomenon as well.
During the pandemic when MAGA people died from Covid they were asking and getting coroners to lie about the cause of death. They didn’t want their friends and family to know that the virus that they were saying was nothing killed a family member.
If these people are not voting for Trump they aren’t about to tell their friends or family. It isn’t healthy. They don’t trust anyone and that includes pollsters. They’ll lie out of necessity.
LT#6
In Kansas there was a poll that had the Harris Walz ticket 5 points behind. Kansas. The rapist criminal Trump started out at + 16. Women voters are making up the difference. It’s hard to believe that Kamala is only 5 points behind. In Kansas.
LT#7
Gas was $2.45 at Costco today here in Missouri. Stores are busy. Stores are well stocked. Broken supply lines have been fixed. There are very few shortages of goods. People are buying all kinds of stuff.
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I’m just going to finish up this Little Things section by saying that I don’t think that the election is quite as close as what media is saying it is. It is close. Just not that close. Vice President Kamala will win the national vote. It’s the Electoral College that prevents the will and vote of the people.
Watch the “swing” states closely.
!!! Click me headlines !!!
Headlines scream! Click on me! It’s an outrage! Trump saw this and knows it’s over! Kamala just ended her career! It’s going to be a landslide! Then we have the headlines that are the opposite of the content. Then there are the accompanying stories that have nothing to do with the headline. Then there are … never mind … it just goes on and on.
A close race generates clicks for
extreme media headlines. I am selective
even with media that I enjoy like MeidasTouch, Luke Beasley, and Adam Mockler, to mention just a few. Politics Girl is great! As is Bryan Tyler Cohen. That’s just a few of my bono fides when it
comes to who I enjoy listening to. Then
there’s the queen of it all Rachel Maddow. (The link is to an excellent show concerning the election.)
But I have to say after 8 years of screaming headlines they just lose some of their punch. Outrageous acts by the rapist criminal Trump and company have become normal. The public expects it from them. I’ll read a headline and think that whatever is mentioned can’t possibly be true but lo and behold I’ll check it out and sure enough it is. You know, like that “comedian” calling Puerto Rico a garbage dump.
If Trump wins on November 5th he’ll make history as the first President to be sentenced due to his felony convictions. If the judge does what he should do in sentencing Trump should receive jail time even as a first offender due to his total lack of remorse and bail violation. Generally people that threaten our judicial system don’t get off scot-free.
In closing, what happened at the rapist Trump’s MSG rally was just icing on the cake and a perfect ending for MAGA.
If only.
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